太平洋潜热通量及其与黄淮夏季降水的关系   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

胡雪  王文  李理  黄山江  谢旭生 《气象科技》2015,43(3):482-487

研究了1979—2010年太平洋潜热通量的变化特征及其与中国黄淮夏季降水的关系。结果表明,潜热通量的气候场和方差场均存在着明显的季节变化,且各季节气候场的极值中心也是变化幅度较大的区域。黄淮地区降水与前期春季的潜热场相关性最好。定义了黄淮夏季降水指数来研究影响降水的潜热场关键区,发现春季潜热关键区为10°~20°N之间的中东太平洋和热带东太平洋沿岸海区。春季当上述两个海区净潜热通量增多时,后期夏季500hPa和850hPa位势高度异常场中,在太平洋西海岸-阿拉斯加南部一线上均表现为"正—负—正"的分布型,黄淮降水偏多。  相似文献   

Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios     

《Global Environmental Change》2015

At the current rate of global warming, the target of limiting it within 2 degrees by the end of the century seems more and more unrealistic. Policymakers, businesses and organizations leading international negotiations urge the scientific community to provide realistic and accurate assessments of the possible consequences of so called “high end” climate scenarios.This study illustrates a novel procedure to assess the future flood risk in Europe under high levels of warming. It combines ensemble projections of extreme streamflow for the current century based on EURO-CORDEX RCP 8.5 climate scenarios with recent advances in European flood hazard mapping. Further novelties include a threshold-based evaluation of extreme event magnitude and frequency, an alternative method to removing bias in climate projections, the latest pan-European exposure maps, and an improved flood vulnerability estimation.Estimates of population affected and direct flood damages indicate that by the end of the century the socio-economic impact of river floods in Europe is projected to increase by an average 220% due to climate change only. When coherent socio-economic development pathways are included in the assessment, central estimates of population annually affected by floods range between 500,000 and 640,000 in 2050, and between 540,000 and 950,000 in 2080, as compared to 216,000 in the current climate. A larger range is foreseen in the annual flood damage, currently of 5.3 B€, which is projected to rise at 20–40 B€ in 2050 and 30–100 B€ in 2080, depending on the future economic growth.  相似文献   

VIV response of a long flexible riser fitted with strakes in uniform and linearly sheared currents     

《Applied Ocean Research》2015

An experimental investigation was conducted on a flexible riser with and without various strake arrangements. The aim of the present work was to further improve the understanding of the response performance of the vortex-induced vibration (VIV) of a riser with helical strakes. Two current profiles, including uniform and linearly sheared flows, were simulated. The uniform current was simulated by towing the riser model in one direction using the towing carriage, and the linearly sheared current was simulated by fixing one end of the riser and using a driven cantilever to traverse a circular arc. Based on the modal superposition method, the displacement responses were obtained from the measured strain. Strakes with different heights and pitches were analysed, and response parameters such as the displacement response and fatigue damage were studied. The results of the bare model test show that the lock-in phenomenon displays multi-order characteristics, and the VIV displacement decreases with an increased order of the lock-in regime. The results of the straked model test indicate that the response characteristics of a bare riser can be quite distinct from those of a riser with helical strakes, and the response performance depends closely on the geometry of the strake configuration.  相似文献   

Experimental Study on Response Performance of VIV of A Flexible Riser with Helical Strakes   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

高云  付世晓  曹静  陈一帆 《海洋工程》2015,29(5):673-690

Laboratory tests were conducted on a flexible riser with and without helical strakes. The aim of the present work is to further understand the response performance of the vortex induced vibration (VIV) for a riser with helical strakes. The experiment was accomplished in the towing tank and the relative current was simulated by towing a flexible riser in one direction. Based on the modal analysis method, the displacement responses can be obtained by the measured strain. The strakes with different heights are analyzed here, and the response parameters like strain response and displacement response are studied. The experimental results show that the in-line (IL) response is as important as the cross-flow (CF) response, however, many industrial analysis methods usually ignore the IL response due to VIV. The results also indicate that the response characteristics of a bare riser can be quite distinct from that of a riser with helical strakes, and the response performance depends on the geometry on the helical strakes closely. The fatigue damage is further discussed and the results show that the fatigue damage in the CF direction is of the same order as that in the IL direction for the bare riser. However, for the riser with helical strakes, the fatigue damage in the CF direction is much smaller than that in the IL direction.  相似文献   

抗几何攻击的高分辨率遥感影像半盲水印算法   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

任娜  朱长青  王志伟 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2011,(3):329-332

提出了一种可有效抵抗几何攻击的高分辨率遥感影像半盲水印算法。该算法充分考虑了高分辨率遥感影像的特点,在水印嵌入方案中,对原始水印信息进行扩频处理,将水印值与最高有效位进行匹配,生成密钥矩阵,水印嵌入到最高位或次低位,并以二进制方式保存生成的密钥矩阵;在水印提取方案中,采用模板匹配技术提取出最优的水印信息。实验结果表明,该水印方案具有良好的不可见性,并且对影像的裁剪、旋转、平移、加噪、滤波等操作具有较强的鲁棒性。  相似文献   

福建省海洋灾害监测和预警预报系统重点岸段高程快速获取方法的应用研究     

何书镜 《测绘与空间地理信息》2011,34(2):42-45

根据连续运行卫星定位系统、似大地水准面精化成果的特点,提出福建省海洋灾害监测和预警预报系统重点岸段高程快速获取的方法,并应用于海堤高程的数据采集,使用GPS点水准联测方法检核海堤测点高程的精度,得出获取的成果满足要求,此方法有很好的推广应用价值。  相似文献   

裂隙弱度参数的波场特征   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

杨德义  王赟  张美根 《地球物理学报》2011,54(3):862-866

本文将Schoenberg线性滑移裂隙介质理论应用到HTI(LSD)介质的弹性波波场数值模拟之中.主要针对描述裂隙状态的2个裂隙参数--法向弱度EN和切向弱度ET对波场的影响进行了有限元模拟.模拟结果揭示了EN主要影响快波而ET主要影响慢波的波场特征,通过EN和ET变化对应的裂隙含水程度说明了EN对裂隙中的流体敏感而E...  相似文献   

鄂尔多斯块体及其周缘上地幔各向异性分析研究   总被引：9，自引：5，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

胡亚轩  崔笃信  季灵运  郝明 《地球物理学报》2011,54(6):1549-1558

对布设在鄂尔多斯块体及其周缘的固定宽频带地震台网90个台站记录作远震SKS波形资料偏振分析,采用最小切向能量法求得每个台站的SKS快波偏振方向和快慢波时差,获得块体及其周缘上地幔各向异性图像,并结合1999～2007年相对鄂尔多斯块体的GPS水平地壳运动速度场,分析块体及其周缘的各向异性特征和壳幔耦合特征并重新认识块体...  相似文献   

Turbulence characteristics of flows passing through a tetrahedron frame in a smooth open-channel     

Jau-Yau Lu  Tien-Feng ChangYee-Meng Chiew  Shih-Ping HungJian-Hao Hong 《Advances in water resources》2011,34(6):718-730

The turbulence characteristics of flows passing through a tetrahedron frame were investigated by using a 2-dimensional fiber-optic laser Doppler velocimeter (2-D FLDV). Experiments for uniform flows with different bed slopes under both submerged and un-submerged conditions were carried out in a re-circulating flume with glass side walls. The experimental bed was a smooth fixed bed. It was observed that with the tetrahedron frame the mean longitudinal velocity decrease in the retardation zone. However, both the longitudinal and the vertical turbulence intensities are larger than those for the undisturbed approach flow. The tetrahedron frame may reduce the probability of sediment entrainment by retarding the flow and reducing the boundary shear stress. In addition, it may induce sediment deposition in a sediment laden flow by changing the flow direction and increasing the energy dissipation.  相似文献   

基于MATLAB神经网络方法的多层砖房震害预测   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

姜伟  马令勇  刘功良 《地震工程学报》2011,33(2):155-158

提出利用MATLAB人工神经网络工具箱建立基于贝叶斯正则算法的BP神经网络模型,以地震区多层砖房震害调查数据为因子的震害预测方法.神经网络模型输入震害因子包括建筑的层数、施工质量、房屋整体性等,输出值为建筑物在地震作用下的破坏程度.结果表明,本方法可以对多层砖房的震害样本进行预测并达到较理想的效果.  相似文献